by Stewart Battle, EIR News:
In a new article dated Dec. 17 in the American Conservative, coauthors Douglas Macgregor and James Carden write that, following the collapse of Assad’s Syria, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is “determined to expand the war.” “Netanyahu’s top priority is the destruction of Iran before Russia wraps up its victory in Ukraine and Syria becomes a new battleground for Turks and Israelis,” they write. Netanyahu now “believes he has the wind at his back,” they add, and quote from the Times of Israel from Dec. 12 which reported that the Israeli Air Force has “continued to increase its readiness and preparations” for “potential strikes in Iran.”
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The two authors warn the incoming Trump administration to stay away from this at all costs, as it is a war that has “no strategic benefit.” Netanyahu desires to start the war soon, which will present Trump with a fait accompli, making it such that: “Israel’s ongoing conflict with Iran and Türkiye’s potential confrontation with Israel will make [American] disengagement impossible.” But Iran is not Iraq, they warn, and this will guarantee a wider Middle East war, even bringing in larger actors like Russia and China.
The most important advice Macgregor and Carden give, however, is their situating of the unfolding chaos in Southwest Asia within the context of the new “multipolar world.” They write:
“The principal aim of U.S. foreign policy planners ought to be the adaptation of the American economy and military establishment to the multipolar world and the development of new markets, not new enemies. Washington’s refusal to acknowledge the fundamental shifts in power and wealth lie at the heart of much of the Biden administration’s foreign policy failure.
“A successful management of change would avoid a conflict with Iran; it would peacefully reconcile competing claims to regional hegemony, as the Chinese recently did with their brokering of the historic rapprochement between the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran. It would revitalize such multilateral organizations as the UN Security Council and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe. These actions would cultivate the emergence of new constellations of power along the lines of Metternich and Castlereagh’s 1815 Concert of Europe. Just as no question of strategic security in Europe can be solved without Russian participation, Washington cannot create stability in the Middle East by unconditionally backing Israel’s territorial ambitions.
“An American failure to manage its own transition to multipolarity will create more chaos and ignite a major war in the Middle East, not to mention a full blown war with Russia, and, eventually, China. An outlook that prioritizes avoiding conflict, not starting new conflicts, must replace nearly three decades of feckless leadership in foreign affairs. New thinking in defense and foreign policy should rank diplomacy and peaceful cooperation first over the use of military power.”
