by Mish Shedlock, Mish Talk:
Just 25 miles or less can make a surge difference of 10 feet. It’s touch an go. Let’s discuss damages.
A 13 foot surge in downtown Tampa could wipe out the entire downtown area.
This Tweet posted in my edit. But if all you see is a Link below then click on this Update From Meteorologist Brian Bennett.
TRUTH LIVES on at https://sgtreport.tv/
(MILTON – SURGE) Here’s my surge forecast based on a Pinellas County (around Madeira Beach) landfall vs a Manatee County (around Bradenton Beach) landfall. The difference, for some, is enormous.
BOTTOM LINE:
🌊These two locations are only 25 miles apart, but it will make a… pic.twitter.com/pIV28NChgQ
— Bryan Bennett (@weatherbryan) October 8, 2024
BOTTOM LINE:
🌊These two locations are only 25 miles apart, but it will make a WORLD of difference as to who receives the catastrophic surge.
🌊The counterclockwise winds around a hurricane means that locations (in the left quadrant) to the north of landfall will have offshore winds & marginal surge. Locations (in the right quadrant) to the south will have onshore winds & devastating surge.
PINELLAS COUNTY LANDFALL:
🌊A Pinellas County landfall means that downtown Tampa, St. Petersburg, & everyone adjacent to the Bay will have catastrophic flooding reaching twice the height of Helene’s surge.
🌊The estimated population impacted by a 10ft+ surge is around 510,000.
MANATEE COUNTY LANDFALL:
🌊A Manatee County landfall means that downtown Tampa, St. Petersburg, & everyone adjacent to the Bay will only have a less intense, perhaps marginal, surge. Tampa’s surge would be TEN FEET LESS than a landfall occurring 25 miles farther north in Pinellas.
