Stop Worrying About the Polls: Kamala’s Lead Is Fake

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by John Kudla, American Thinker:

Yesterday, as I watched a podcast about my favorite NFL football team, a commercial interrupted my reverie.  Yes, I know.  Podcasts have commercials.  However, this was not one of those “buy this, buy that, take this to end constipation” commercials.  This was some angry man loudly complaining that Trump had failed to do X, Y, and Z.  It made me angry, but not in the way intended.  It motivated me to send a campaign contribution to Trump.  I thought the Harris campaign deserved to know that.

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Joy, vibes, and cackles, everyone!  Currently, Kamala is up by 2 points in the Real Clear Politics national polling average and 3.4 points in the FiveThirtyEight average.  Some of this is polling smoke and mirrors, and some is due to Democrats coming home to support their party’s candidate.  For example, since Harris became the Democrat nominee, Robert Kennedy’s polling numbers declined from 9–10% of the vote to around 4–5%.  So, yes, the polls have tightened up.

Can Kamala win?  Only if the public buys into the massive public relations campaign touting her as a leader and the Democrats’ desperate attempt to blame Trump for the country being on the wrong track.

Keep in mind Kamala’s problems as a candidate.  She is immersed in the world of identity politics.  She has rarely been able to succeed without the help of powerful politicians.  She has never run anything significant — no city, state, or business.  She has managed her own offices but has a reputation as a terrible boss.  She avoided most of the assignments given to her by the Biden administration, especially border czar.  Finally, she is the misguided middle-class daughter of a Marxist economics professor, which may account for many of her socialist views and her inability to connect with working-class folks.

Can Trump win?  Of course he can.  He has to focus on the issues and stay frosty.  No name-calling, inappropriate remarks, or wandering off-topic.

Trump has other advantages.  The main Trump-friendly issues are the economy, inflation, and illegal immigration, with 65% saying the country is on the wrong track, according to the RCP average.  He has current and former Democrats supporting him, such as Elon Musk; Tulsi Gabbard; and, most importantly, Robert F. Kennedy.  Also, the Democrats’ desire to raise the corporate tax rate and tax unrealized capital gains is motivating numerous Silicon Valley and Wall Street big-money players to back Trump.

Trump also has a secret weapon.  It is the usually ignored and virtually un-pollable mass of Trump-supporters, AKA the hidden Trump vote.  They are still there.

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