DATA: French Populists May Triumph in Macron’s Snap Election

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from The National Pulse:

Populist leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) party is projected to win upcoming snap elections in France. President Emmanuel Macron called the elections after his globalist Renaissance party received only half the populists’ support in elections to the European Parliament.

Polling conducted by Toluna Harris Interactive for Challenges, M6, and RTL indicates that National Rally could secure 235 to 265 seats in the French legislature, a significant increase from its current 88—although still short of the 289 needed for an outright majority.

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Macron’s party may see its representation halved from 250 seats to between 125 and 155. Leftist parties might collectively hold 115 to 145 seats, running independently.

RN’s lead in the poll does not guarantee it will form a government, with the possibility of a broad coalition of establishment parties or a hung parliament still on the table.

Even if RN wins a majority, Macron will remain president for the next three years, continuing to oversee defense and foreign policy. Any RN prime minister would wield substantially less power than Macron, with the French system affording the president more executive power than other countries that retain both offices, such as Ireland.

Following Macron’s election announcement, talks of a populist coalition are in the works. RN leaders Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella met with Le Pen’s niece, Marion Maréchal, of the smaller Reconquête (Reconquest) party, to discuss a potential alliance.

The divided French left is also engaging in discussions to form a unified front.

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