Of Drones, Druze, and Pardons

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by Clarice Feldman, American Thinker:

There’s been a lot of buzz thus week about the appearance of SUV-sized drones over the Atlantic Coast states, particularly New Jersey. They exhibit some characteristics not previously observed and speculation is rampant. The most commonly voiced of these that they were launched by Iran from a ship parked off our coast, but that doesn’t seem true. I’m inclined to accept the speculation of Scott Adams, Dilbert’s creator, and a man who has spent a great deal of time exploring psychological tools of persuasion:

TRUTH LIVES on at https://sgtreport.tv/

This is a good week to practice your lie detections skills because we know the government is lying about drones. For example, Mayorkis says, “. . . no evidence of anomalous activity.” Right. It’s not “anomalous” to Mayorkis because he knows what the truth. (I assume is our military.) John Kirby says the sightings they could confirm were all regular airplanes. That’s pure weasel. The government also says they are investigating, with the FBI, etc. That’s also probably true, but only because whatever is happening is not being shared to every part of the government. Watch for overly specific answers. That’s how normies (non-psychopaths) lie.

On the other hand, it could be outgoing SEC chair Gary Gensler pretending to launch a fleet of spaceships at us to foil Musk’s plan of transporting people to Mars — just in case his lawfare against Musk fails.

In the Middle East, autocracy and butchery seem to be meeting a match in the IDF and IAF. In 11 days, the Israelis erased a barbaric Assad regime which had lingered after a civil war for 13 years. Unlike the Biden administration, which left in the hands of the Taliban billions of dollars worth of weapons and military supplies, or the Obama administration, which left Libya’s war stocks untouched, the Israelis systematically destroyed most of the Assad arsenal. They’ve now opened a clear corridor to Iran and its nuclear facilities:

Open Corridor to Iran: Israeli Air Force Summarizes Operation to Decimate Assad’s Army According to estimates, 86% of Syria’s air defense systems (SAM) have been destroyed. This marks a significant shift, as Syria, once a major threat to Israeli Air Force (IAF) planes due to its dense anti-aircraft missile systems, now poses far less of an aerial threat, making Syrian airspace considerably safer and more accessible for flights. Strategic Opportunity Against Iran In light of recent developments in the Middle East, the IDF believes there is now an opportunity to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. Various security organizations, including the IDF, are currently engaged in comprehensive inter-organizational preparations involving intelligence and operational planning. These efforts aim to present the political leadership with the military capabilities and options for executing such an attack. Syrian Air Defense Devastated The IAF focused on Syria’s most advanced air defense systems, which had successfully intercepted numerous missiles during recent years: •SA-17 system: 80% destroyed. •SA-22 system: 86% destroyed. Additionally, 90% of Syria’s MiG-29 aircraft and approximately 80% of its Sukhoi-24 planes have also been destroyed, resulting in an overall 61% reduction in the Syrian Air Force’s operational capacity. Missile and Firepower Capabilities The results in Assad’s missile and firepower systems were more varied. Some missile systems suffered 80-90% destruction, while others were only 20-30% affected. The IDF assesses that advanced weapons, missiles, and other military capabilities may now fall into the hands of rebel factions, some of which Israel may not yet be aware of. Targets were selected based on prioritization. Scale of the Operation. The IAF conducted approximately 500 strikes during the operation, employing 1,800 munitions.

While there’s some press coverage portraying the Syrian “rebels” and suggesting there will be substantial improvement in the areas under their control, I believe that is far-fetched. The HTS — aka “rebel” forces led by Al-Joulani — are only minimally an improvement over Assad.

“The terrorists responsible for forcing Assad out are called HTS, or Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham. Roughly translated to “Levant Liberation Committee.” Meaning that they want to control the entire “Levant.” This includes Syria, Lebanon, Israel, Jordan, Egypt, Greece, Cyprus, and Turkey.”

The country seems in fact to divide along ethnic lines, with the Kurds in the North, the Alawites along the coast, the Al-Joulani forces in the middle, and the Druzes (and many Christians) in the south. To my mind it is altogether possible that Syria may divide up on ethnic lines. At least one analyst seems to agree with this:

#Iran, the master of the evil ring of fire around Israel, as well as #Hamas and #Hezbollah, underestimated Israel’s ability to sustain the losses and keep fighting for 14 months. Hamas was minimized to the area of Khan Yunis. Hezbollah teased Israel for 11 months, then was struck with plagues it never imagined. And only a week ago did we witness the collapse of the Iranian-supporting regime in #Syria. A years civil war that lingered for 13 years ended with a blitz that took 11 days only, and old Syria was gone. [snip] All eyes on Syria now. On the range between losers and winners, #Turkey is certainly on the winning side. Turkey aided and supported the rebels and now Syria is hers. It can keep annexing the huge “buffer zone” that it created inside Syria along their shared border, by that have better access to the Kurds that it hates so much.

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