by William Upton, The National Pulse:
President-elect Donald J. Trump has dramatically improved his margins of support across all demographic groups in the American electorate, propelling him to a historic 2024 election victory. Meanwhile, Vice President Kamala Harris—his Democratic Party rival—failed to improve amongst a single voter demographic from Joe Biden’s margins in 2020.
Among non-college-educated white men, Trump saw a significant shift—despite already being heavily favored among the demographic—besting Harris by a margin of nearly 40 points. Likewise, the America First leader also improved among non-college-educated white women, defeating Harris by an almost 30-point margin.
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Despite polling data suggesting Trump was losing ground with women overall, the president-elect actually gained ground—albeit only slightly. The most dramatic increases came among Hispanic and Asian voters. Hispanics swung a stunning 25 points towards Trump compared to his 2020 election margin. The Asian swing was similar.
The diverse coalition of voters that backed Trump in the 2024 election appears to have been largely drawn by his America First populist message. Interestingly, President-elect Trump captured 45 percent of the Jewish vote in New York, leading to him capturing a surprising 30 percent of the vote in New York City.
While the political establishment has been pessimistic about Republican efforts to increase their share of the black vote for decades, Trump again was able to improve his margins among the demographic. In fact, 21 percent of black voters in Wisconsin cast a ballot for Trump, likely being pivotal in his victory in the state.
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