from The National Pulse:
New election data released by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio indicates that Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s suspension of his independent presidential bid in around ten battleground states—and endorsement of former President Donald J. Trump—will likely boost the Republican ticket. Additionally, Fabrizio’s polling data confirms suspicions that Kennedy drew more votes from the former Republican President than from either of the Democratic Party nominees, formerly Joe Biden and now Kamala Harris.
The data, drawn from the Trump pollster’s most recent survey of battleground states, shows RFK Jr. capturing five percent of the vote in Arizona, three percent of the vote in Georgia and North Carolina, and four percent in Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In all seven states, the polling shows RFK Jr. supporters breaking by about a two-to-one ratio for former President Trump over Democratic Party nominee Kamala Harris.
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In Arizona, RFK Jr. supporters break for Trump by 53 percent to Harris’s 28 percent, with 19 percent undecided. The results are a bit closer in Georgia, with Trump‘s net gain over Harris among RFK Jr. voters only being 13 percent, and in Michigan, the net gain is only two percent. In the remaining four states of North Carolina, Nevada, Pennslyvania, and Wisconsin, RFK Jr. voters break for Trump between 16 and 21 percent.
While the vote share may seem small, each of these battlegrounds could be decided on the narrowest of margins. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average for top battleground states, Trump leads Harris by just 0.2 percent in Arizona, by 1.4 percent in Nevada, by 0.2 percent in Pennsylvania, by 0.9 percent in North Carolina, and by just one percent in Georgia. Meanwhile, Harris leads Trump by one percent in Wisconsin and two percent in Michigan.
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