by Lucas Nolan, Breitbart:
A former OpenAI governance researcher has made a chilling prediction: the odds of AI either destroying or catastrophically harming humankind sit at 70 percent.
In a recent interview with the New York Times, Daniel Kokotajlo, a former OpenAI governance researcher and signee of an open letter claiming that employees are being silenced against raising safety issues, accused the company of ignoring the monumental risks posed by artificial general intelligence (AGI) due to its decision-makers being enthralled with its possibilities. “OpenAI is really excited about building AGI,” Kokotajlo stated, “and they are recklessly racing to be the first there.”
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OpenAI logo seen on screen with ChatGPT website displayed on mobile seen in this illustration in Brussels, Belgium, on December 12, 2022. (Photo by Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
OpenAI boss Sam Altman (Kevin Dietsch/Getty)
Kokotajlo’s most alarming claim was that the chance AI will wreck humanity is around 70 percent—odds that would be unacceptable for any major life event, yet OpenAI and its peers are barreling ahead with anyway. The term “p(doom),” which refers to the probability that AI will usher in doom for humankind, is a topic of constant controversy in the machine learning world.
After joining OpenAI in 2022 and being asked to forecast the technology’s progress, the 31-year-old became convinced not only that the industry would achieve AGI by 2027 but also that there was a great probability it would catastrophically harm or even destroy humanity. Kokotajlo and his colleagues, including former and current employees at Google DeepMind and Anthropic, as well as Geoffrey Hinton, the “Godfather of AI” who left Google last year over similar concerns, are asserting their “right to warn” the public about the risks posed by AI.
