by Jim Rickards, Daily Reckoning:
As you know by now, Donald Trump was found guilty yesterday on all felony counts in his hush money trial in New York.
Sentencing in the case is scheduled for July 11, 2024. That’s just four days before the Republican National Convention begins in Milwaukee on July 15. That’s not a coincidence, by the way. It’s calculated to further tarnish his image ahead of the convention.
It’s part of the pattern of lawfare and abuse of the judicial system that began with the Russia hoax in 2016 even before Trump was elected president that year. The campaign against Trump only increased from there, which included two impeachments.
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I wasn’t at all surprised by yesterday’s verdict — I’ve predicted that Trump would likely be convicted in at least one of the several criminal trials against him. This is what I wrote eight months ago:
The Trump indictments are already handed up. There are two federal cases, two state cases and 91 felony charges in total.
Trump is highly likely to be convicted of something because the jurisdictions were carefully selected by Democrat prosecutors to be 90% Democrat… so the jury pools will be out to convict Trump…
None of the possible defenses or defective charges may matter. Trump’s lawfare opponents among the prosecutors carefully selected the venues to maximize the likelihood of a conviction… The venues were chosen to ensure anti-Trump juries.
Unprecedented
I won’t get into the details of the verdict here. There are plenty of talking heads available on the internet to break the case down.
I’ll just say that as an attorney with decades of legal experience, I can tell you that this is the weakest case I’ve ever seen. It’s a jumble of novel legal theories strung together in pursuit of a predecided outcome. That’s not just my opinion.
Retired Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz says it’s the weakest case he’s seen in 60 years of legal experience. Other legal experts have expressed similar opinions. Never has a case like this been held in New York. It literally has no precedent.
The fact that it ever got to trial at all is itself remarkable. Former Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance Jr. declined to pursue the case because it was so weak, as did federal prosecutors within the Justice Department.
Meanwhile, Matthew Colangelo, third in line at the Biden Justice Department, left his post to join the Manhattan District Attorney’s office in 2022. That’s a downward career move. It’s difficult to escape the conclusion that it was a calculated move to coordinate federal and state efforts to pursue this case against Trump.
When you add it all up, Trump was facing the full force of lawfare in a hostile venue so no one should be surprised by what happened yesterday. Having said that, the New York case will almost certainly be reversed on appeal. Here’s why…
Egregious Violations
The trial judge violated the First Amendment with his gag order on Trump. The idea that a defendant in a criminal case couldn’t criticize those persecuting him would have been anathema to the authors of the First Amendment.
The judge also violated the Fifth Amendment because the crime was not specified in the indictment and Trump was denied due process of law.
He violated the Sixth Amendment because Trump was denied the right “to be informed of the nature and cause of the accusation” and was denied the right to have “process for obtaining witnesses in his favor.”
The judge also violated the 14th Amendment, which applies the First, Fifth and Sixth Amendments to state actions under the due process clause. Four constitutional violations should be more than enough to get the case reversed, but there were scores of other reversible errors committed by the judge.
He never should have heard the case in the first place because he had a conflict of interest. He couldn’t be impartial. He personally donated to the Biden campaign in 2020 and his daughter is a Democratic lobbyist who’s raised millions of dollars to defeat Trump. Even Democrat lawyers have said that this judge never should have been assigned the case.
Also, is it coincidence that the judge assigned to this case is the same judge who presided over the case against the Trump Organization and the case against Trump’s former campaign manager Steve Bannon? It’s highly unlikely. His assignment to this case was almost certainly deliberate based on his anti-Trump bona fides.
The question everyone wants answered is where do things go from here?
The Next Steps
Skeptics may believe that the New York appeals courts (The First Appellate Division where I was sworn in as a lawyer decades ago, and the Court of Appeals) will be as biased as the trial court. That’s not true.
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