by Paul Joseph Watson, Modernity News:
The first poll taken after French President Emmanuel Macron announced snap parliamentary elections shows his party will lose badly, potentially forcing him to resign.
Following his trouncing by Marine Le Pen’s National Rally in the EU elections, Macron was forced to announce new parliamentary elections, the first round of which will take place on June 30th followed by the final round on July 7th.
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Although his presidency is not technically under threat, should Macron receive a similar drubbing, some observers say he would have to step down.
A poll conducted by Harris Interactive for French publication Challenges shows that Macron’s Ensemble party would win around 125 to 155 seats.
EXCLUSIF @Challenges – Première projection des élections législatives post-dissolution :
– ⚫️ RN : 235 à 265 sièges
– 🟡 Ensemble : 125 à 155 sièges
– 🔴 NUPES : 115 à 145 sièges
– 🔵 LR : 40 à 55 sièges
– ⚪️ Autres : 5 à 20 sièges pic.twitter.com/MYVjLjAPPI— Rémi Clément (@remiclement_) June 10, 2024
This would leave Le Pen’s party in a position to claim between 235 and 265 seats, meaning they would be able to form a relative majority.
Crucially, the survey was taken before the news broke that National Rally and The Republicans (LR) would form an alliance together, meaning Le Pen’s margin of victory is likely to be significantly higher.
Such an alliance would add an extra 40 to 55 seats to Le Pen’s total, giving her an absolute majority, strong mandate and putting her in a great position to challenge for the presidency in 2027.
According to political scientist Dominique Moïsi, Macron is likely to lose the gamble he made.
