by Robert Malone MD MS, Who Is Robert Malone:
The MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (MRC GIDA) at the Imperial College of London is a “WHO Collaborating Centre for infectious disease modelling.” This is the organization supporting the modeler Dr. Neil Fergusen. He is the one that published the apocalyptic prediction of a case fatality rate of 3.4% for COVID in 2020 – which governments across the world used to justify lockdowns. This modeling was faulty – more than that, it was irresponsible and it resulted in great world harm to publish such a demonstrably false number.
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The lockdowns “have contributed to reducing economic activity, raising unemployment, reducing schooling, causing political unrest, contributing to domestic violence, and undermining liberal democracy,” – according to a 2022 John’s Hopkins study.
The Imperial College report was also the basis for much of the modeling used by COVID Act Now (a non-profit run by Democratic activists) that local and state officials in the U.S also relied on. This then led to “shelter-in-place” mandates (madness). COVID Act Now has is an online mapping tool that generates models predicting coronavirus hospitalizations, which have also already proved to be wildly inaccurate.
Jessica Hamzelou at New Scientist documents the systematic errors researchers and scientists found with the modeling by Neil Fergusen/MRC GIDA COVID Act Now relied on:
Chen Shen at the New England Complex Systems Institute, a research group in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and his colleagues argue that the Imperial team’s model is flawed, and contains ‘incorrect assumptions’. They point out that the Imperial team’s model doesn’t account for the availability of tests, or the possibility of ‘super-spreader events’ at gatherings, and has other issues.
Nicknamed, “The Master of Disaster.”
This is not the first time that Dr. Fergusen/MRC GIDA has caused wide spread panic. They have a long track record of making outrageous modeling claims for new infectious disease outbreaks.
In 2002, Ferguson predicted that, by 2080, up to 150,000 people could die from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. In the U.K., there were only 177 deaths from BSE.
In 2005, Ferguson predicted that up to 150 million people could be killed from bird flu. In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009.
In 2009, a government estimate, based on Ferguson’s advice, said a “reasonable worst-case scenario” was that the swine flu would lead to 65,000 British deaths. In the end, swine flu killed 457 people in the U.K.
Last March, Ferguson admitted that his Imperial College model of the COVID-19 disease was based on undocumented, 13-year-old computer code that was intended to be used for a feared influenza pandemic, rather than a coronavirus. Ferguson declined to release his original code so other scientists could check his results. He only released a heavily revised set of code last week, after a six-week delay.
So the real scandal is: Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?
What damage did his faulty modeling cause worldwide?
In South Africa, 73,000 troops were used to enforce lockdowns on many people who live “Meal-to-meal”. This draconian governmental response was replicated through out the world. For instance in the USA – Hawaii had various quarantines, traveler restrictions and lock-down requirements for 1.5 years. In many poorer nations, people lost their lives due to the lockdowns. Of course, this was not documented by the WHO or governments, but the excess mortality during 2020 in many “less developed” countries that did not have severe COVID outbreaks cannot be denied.
Yet still continuing into the present, the MRC GIDA is a WHO collaborating center for infectious disease modeling. Even after all of this, the WHO is still using Dr. Ferguson and his team to “model” future infectious disease outbreaks.
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