by Steve Kirsch, Steve Kirsch’s newsletter:
I checked with Google Bard. Looks like only 1 USC player every 100 years, on average will have a cardiac arrest. So how can there be 2 in the last year?
Executive summary
Based on overall statistics, it appears that USC should normally expect to see about 1 cardiac arrest of a basketball player every 100 years or so.
So two events within a 12 month period is statistically highly unlikely. This means there is an external cause.
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The last time it happened, a year ago with Vincent Iwuchukwu, doctors never found the cause. To this day, it remains an unsolved medical mystery.
The statistics suggests that fewer than 1 USC player will have a cardiac arrest every 100 years
If there are 20 people on the entire team each year, all black males, then we’d expect to see one cardiac arrest every 100 years at most, on average.
So the fact that we are seeing 2 cardiac arrests in a year suggests something novel is causing this. It would have to be a powerful drug to cause such damage. And it would have to be created within the last year or two, otherwise we would have seen this before.
Congenital defect?
It’s possible that Bronny James has a congenital heart defect that caused the cardiac arrest. If so, that will be easy to diagnose.
But if not, it’s important to figure out what might be causing this.
It could be the COVID vaccine for example. Or maybe something else.
Whatever the cause, I believe this is an opportunity for Bronny James to educate the public.
Other statistics from peer-reviewed studies support this
Various people on Twitter called attention to the following three papers, all of which support what I wrote. Let’s look at the key findings.
SCD papers
Outcomes of Cardiac Screening in Adolescent Soccer Players
Outcome: 6.8 deaths per year per 100,000 players in the UK. The paper pointed out that previous studies of SCD in athletes had estimates that varied between 0.5 and 13 deaths per 100,000 athletes. The Real Truther challenged asked me to explain this paper to him . It’s easy. The paper did a careful study of UK soccer player and determined that the deaths fit into the previously known range. The reason for the variation in death rates is that it is strongly dependent on the sport being studied. Basketball and football have the highest death rates, soccer is #3 (look at the Aetiology paper for the breakdown). This study just looked looked at soccer.
Sudden Cardiac Death in Athletes in Italy during 2019: Internet-Based Epidemiological Research
Outcome: 1.0 deaths per year per 100,000 competitive players across all sport in Italy (0.32 in non-competitive players). Male:female death ratio: 9.9:1. My conclusion is that Italy may do a better job of athlete screening than the UK (per the paper above).
Incidence, Cause, and Comparative Frequency of Sudden Cardiac Death in National Collegiate Athletic Association Athletes
3.4 medical deaths per year per 100,000 players in the US. Black:white death rate was 3.2:1. Male:female death rate: 3.2:1. For Division I male basketball players, the rate is 19.2 deaths per 100,000 players in a year (i.e., 1 in 5,200 male basketball players per year).
SCA papers
Survival After Exercise-Related Sudden Cardiac Arrest in Young Athletes: Can We Do Better?
This paper was focused on survival rates after SCA. Overall survival was 48%. But NCAA Division I had a 75% survival. The point of the paper was to show that interventions can increase survival risks.
Aetiology and incidence of sudden cardiac arrest and death in young competitive athletes in the USA: a 4-year prospective study
Basically, this paper showed that over half the people with SCA end up dead. So to estimate the SCD rate, you can take the SCA numbers and divide by 2. Football and basketball made up over half of all SCD cases, with soccer being the next most likely.
SCA rates for male Black basketball players were EXACTLY as BARD told me: African American male NCAA Division I basketball players had the highest annual incidence rate of SCA: 1:2087 AY. So 1 in 2,000 Black Division I basketball players should be expected to have a cardiac arrest each year (i.e., 47.9 SCA per 100,000 players each year).
Oddly, I was accused by subboy777 (a Twitter account with zero followers) of using USC data. Nope, I used the data from the very paper he cited (Bard pulled it from the paper he cited).
The big problem here that nobody is pointing out
It’s not just that the rates of SCA/SCD are higher after the COVID vaccines were rolled out.
But it’s also the CAUSE of SCA/SCD have gone from “we can almost always determine the cause” to “we haven’t got a clue as to what caused this”. That’s a huge problem. And it’s only happening (where we don’t know the cause) in athletes who have been vaccinated with the COVID vaccine, for some reason. Hmmm….
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