Global Food Crisis — Ukraine Farming Sector Won’t Recover for at Least 20 Years: Study

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by Kurt Zindulka, Breitbart:

Ukraine, once known as the ‘breadbasket’ of Europe, will need at least twenty years for its agricultural sector to recover following the eventual end of the war with Russia.

According to a report from the Kyiv School of Economics, Ukraine’s farming industry has been severely damaged during the past year of fighting with Russia, with staple crops such as maize, oats, rapeseed, and rye not expected to recover to previous production levels until at least 2050. Other sectors such as barley, sunflower, and wheat are meanwhile not expected to recover to pre-war levels until 2040.

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“This means that it may take as long as 20 years for Ukraine to regain its strength in agriculture after the devastation brought by the Russian military assault,” the report said.

The report found that the total damage to the Ukrainian agricultural sector was $9 billion as of April or more than 26 per cent of its physical assets. They noted that this came in large part as a result of naval blockades imposed by the Russians on the Black Sea in the initial phases of the war, forcing many crops to rot rather than being sent abroad.

Before the war, the report claims, approximately 33 million hectares of Ukrainian land were devoted to the cultivation of grand and oilseeds. Last year, following the invasion, this had declined to 25 million hectares, a figure that is expected to further decline without an end to the conflict.

Calculations made by the school on the assumption that the war would conclude before the sowing of winter crops this year, the amount of land used in agriculture would partially be restored by the end of the decade and hit 37 million hectares by 2050.

The continued struggles for the Ukrainian farming sector will likely have impacts further afield, with Ukraine previously accounting for 10 per cent of global wheat exports, 15 per cent of barley and corn, and over 50 per cent of sunflower oil.

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