by Shane Trejo, Big League Politics:
Years of diplomatic cables that have now been released show how government officials around the world knew that NATO expansion would cause conflict between Russia and Ukraine, a reality completely lost in the haze of nonstop war propaganda from the corporate press.
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“[French presidential diplomatic advisor Maurice] Gourdault-Montagne warned that the question of Ukrainian accession to NATO remained extremely sensitive for Moscow, and concluded that if there remained one potential cause for war in Europe, it was Ukraine,” one cable from September 2005 states. “He added that some in the Russian administration felt we were doing too much in their core zone of interest, and one could wonder whether the Russians might launch a move similar to Prague in 1968, to see what the West would do.”
“While Georgia was ‘just a bug on the skin of the bear,’ Ukraine was inseparably identified with Russia, going back to Vladimir of Kiev in 988,” German deputy national security advisor Rolf Nikel stated as a NATO expansion plan that enraged Russia was announced.
It was clear that government officials from U.S. and throughout the world knew that NATO’s expansion was provoking Russia and putting them in a position where they would have no choice but to act.
“NATO enlargement and U.S. missile defense deployments in Europe play to the classic Russian fear of encirclement,” said then-U.S. ambassador to Russia William Burns, who presently serves as CIA Director under Joe Biden.
A cable from March 2008 featured former deputy director of the Russian branch of the US-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Dmitri Trenin explaining that “Ukraine was, in the long term, the most potentially destabilizing factor in US-Russian relations, given the level of emotion and neuralgia triggered by its quest for NATO membership.” He stated that NATO’s eastward expansion was “one of the few security areas where there is almost complete consensus among Russian policymakers, experts and the informed population,” and Ukraine was considered “line of last resort” that could not under any circumstances fall to NATO control otherwise risk encirclement.
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