by Vladimir Mashin, New Eastern Outlook:
The changes that are taking place in today’s world often are so rapid and unpredictable that they leave certain US and European politicians utterly confused. The state those people often find themselves in can be most accurately described as panic, as they feel the floor falling out from underneath their feet. Those people are unable to explain why the comfortable carefree life that they’ve been enjoying for decades is nowhere to be found, while the presumably unipolar suddenly looks multipolar. In their understanding the sole superpower should be determining the way that our world works, and this situation should be carried on to infinity. Perhaps those gentlemen didn’t care enough to study Hegel back when they were students. When repetitive processes are getting accumulated they lead to a qualitative change in any system. It would be a gross mistake to assume that the changing balance of powers in the world today can be escaped or ignored.
How can one fail to recognize the fact that China’s buying power has already surpassed Washington’s? Is it possible to ignore the fact that Russia’s actions in Syria have tipped the scales in favor of the legitimate government, creating preconditions for a political settlement of the conflict.
Additionally, it would be naive at best to underestimate the importance of demographic trends. Is it even possible not to take into account the rapid growth of India’s population, which has recently hit the mark of 1.2 original residents, while this impressive population is making rapid advancements in high-tech industries. So by stating that the world would remain unipolar one drives himself into a cruel time trap. Then he will start claiming that the events that are taking place in the world are completely random, unrelated to the changes taking place in the world. Then Brexit is an accident, Italians voting against the constitutional reform is also an accident, and then, out of the blue, Donald Trump wins the presidential election in the US.
And how many more of such “accidents” are going to happen in the upcoming elections in the Netherlands, France, Germany, and across the rest of Europe? The easiest way to do in this situation is to dig one’s head in the sand and take the ostrich position, but this will only complicate the matters even further.
Sometimes, indeed, it’s amazing how deceiving the Cold War stereotypes can be, as some political analysts believe that the West should dominate every aspect of human life till the end of times. Then you can push the blame for all of your failures on the behind the scenes machinations of alleged enemies.
Meanwhile, the list of domestic problems in most Western countries is only getting longed after decades of exploitation of the people. After the collapse of the Soviet Union the rich have cynically assumed that they were in no position to share profits with both the workers and the middle class. As a result, income inequality has reached enormous proportions: the eight richest men in the world accumulated the same wealth as half of the world’s population. An average American or Brit is starting to realize that his expectations are much lower than those that his parents had. All these facts combined with the demographic factors lead to a fairly explosive mixture, when ordinary citizens no longer trust their governments, while corrupt officials are not simply unresponsive, they are annoying to the point when you are about to demand an alternative for them.
As a result of these changes Chinese and India are preparing to occupy the center stage of international politics, followed by a number of Asian, African, and Latin American countries. Meanwhile, some politicians in the West see Russia’s meddling behind these processes. For instance, the man behind the Hillary Clinton election campaign, Clinton Robbie Mock in his recent article for The Guardian noted that the biggest danger to the West is Russia’s political influence, therefore it must be eradicated. Is this anything short of absurd?
Further still, the Foreign Policy would publish an article drafted by two prominent experts who used to work for the Obama Administration: Hal Brands, a Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), and Choline Kala, an associate professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University’s Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. They gentlemen would criticize in every way the thesis that Donald Trump has repeatedly voiced during his election campaign and even after becoming the new US president. The thesis that the US and Russia are natural allies in the fight against terrorism, and that it’s only natural place their cooperation should begin in Syria. According to the above mentioned authors, a US alliance with Russia in Syria is a strategic suicide for the United States. Without providing any arguments, those scholars argue that eve if Donald Trump will do nothing to intensify the fight against ISIS, Mosul and Rakka will be liberated in the next few months. This kind of allegedly scientific articles just makes the operations of radical organizations easier, as they are preparing their new attacks. There’s a real danger that ISIS and Jabhat al-Nusra will get their hands on weapons of mass destruction, and then what?
This brings us back to the UN General Assembly of October 2015, when Vladimir Putin demanded the West: Do you realize what you have done?
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