by Jim Willie, Gold Seek:
Many are the potential fuses to be lit, which would create the conflagration, the massive bonfire of the bond vanities and bank charades. Many are the fuses lying around, all criss-crossed, all exposed, all overlapping each other in highly dangerous manner. If any single fuse is lit, then several will light and the detonation arrives. It is unavoidable since the financial world is so deeply interwoven. Never in modern history has the global financial structure been so badly weakened, so totally corrupted, so thoroughly undermined by control mechanisms, so intensely defended by sanctions even war. In 2007 and early 2008, the Jackass warned of a mortgage bust that would alter the global system forever. It happened with far reaching consequences which endure to this day. In recent months the Jackass is warning of a Systemic Lehman event, where several major national systems are at heightened risk of a similar bust like what happened in September 2008. Except this time, the entire global financial system will erupt like a debt volcano, with several epicenters, all located in the West. The big Western banks are all lashed together, all tied to each other. The banker cabal believed that the interconnectivity within their bank structures would make them all immune to failure risk. The reality is that the failure of any one major bank guarantees the systemic breakdown of all of them. It will erupt like a cave-in of the flying buttresses at the Notre Dame in Paris, with numerous bank (churches) collapsing, all located in the West.
When the collapse occurs, the solution will finally be discussed, the solution avoided for eight full years. THE GOLD STANDARD WILL BE INSTALLED. It will first arrive in the trade payment system. Then it will arrive in the banking reserves system. Lastly it will be seen in the gold backed currencies. The paper game has gone on since 2008 in grand style and unspeakable corruption.
This article attempts to list many threats to a systemic breakdown from ignition of several megatons of TNT dynamite. The financial press has often mentioned derivatives as capable of inflicting damage and devastation like with nuclear explosions. The systemic breakdown is due to occur soon, actually way overdue to occur. The prevention has been a massive global project run by the major central banks in coordination with a few ministries of finance. The primary control center is the USDept Treasury and their Exchange Stabilization Fund. This truly gigantic multi-$trillion fund is a very well-kept secret. Its recent activity has been to permit the USTreasury Bond yield to rise, but without pushing down the sacred USDollar. Not much mention has come from the sleepy lapdog financial press on this unusual anomaly. The motive is to keep the Japanese happy, since they are the last holdout among the $1 trillion USGovt debt holders. The Chinese are dumping USTBonds, but the United States cannot afford for Japan to dump USTBonds at the same time.
TOO MANY CRISS-CROSSED FUSES EXPOSED
The following are numerous potential lit fuses, with brief descriptions of the risk and effect. It is in no way complete as a list, but it might be somewhat comprehensive. No attempt will be made to be very thorough in the description of each potential fuse. That role is played with the Hat Trick Letter, with fallout effects discussed and analyzed in more thorough fashion.
Deutsche Bank failure
The actual failure has been going on for at least a couple years. Recall that D-Bank unwillingly accepted the merger & acquisition of Bankers Trust back in 1998. It became the European outpost for the rafts and scads of bank derivatives, managed outside the United States, free from regulation. The giant German bank has a net worth of around minus $1000 billion, or minus EUR 1000 billion, no matter the unit. All manner of relief and patchwork and emergency liquidity and false accounting and total lies are associated with this giant cesspool of a bank. They hold all types of ruined paper debt, and hold a mountain of Gold contracts which China wants to acquire. The New York and London crime center banks are vulnerable. When it blows out of control, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
USFed rate hike
The USFed might not be able to avoid an official rate hike. Ignore the fake rate hike in December 2015, which was really a Reverse REPO episode well concealed. That event permitted more leverage by the big US banks. In the last few months, the USTreasury Bond yields are all rising, including the short maturity. The long maturity might cause a derivative accident soon, since the Tower of Bond Babel cannot tolerate the big moves seen. The USFed might have to hike rates a notch, just to keep the short maturity of the USTreasurys from fracturing. But the long maturity is also at risk. When the hike comes, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
USDollar rejection in trade payments
The United States has been paying for its massive $500 billion trade deficit with paper IOU rubbish certificates called USTreasury Bills. The US nation has been a freeloader for over 20 years, lacking critical mass in industry, covering the bills with printed money of no intrinsic value. The Asian producers object loudly. In the last year, many foreign producers have been rejecting the USDollar as payment. Bobcat Inc (warehouse forklifts, construction backhoes) is only the most visible. The port facility confusion and mayhem is given too much attribution to the Hanjin Shipping bankruptcy. The truth is that the USTBill is being rejected as valid payment, despite the many empty disputes of this claim. The other shoe from those American feet is the end of the USDollar as global currency reserve. When the rejection is more broadly understood and openly discussed, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
USTreasury Bond complex bust with derivative
The bank derivatives are a $700 trillion set of buttresses, which if capably observed, would frighten the wits out of all people who have bank accounts. They are heavily leveraged contracts which hold the financial system together like glue, but lately more like chewing gum and bailing wire. These toxic units are called assets, while bank accounts are called liabilities subject to loss and confiscation (see bail-in procedures). The derivatives cannot tolerate big movements in bond yields. They serve as the site to produce artificial bond demand for the USGovt debt, whose supply is between $1.0 and $1.4 trillion per year, but without benefit of actual real investor buyers. The Asian bond dumping has put huge strains on the derivative machinery, which cannot sustain the pressure. The derivative jig is up very soon, to reveal a massive Ponzi Scheme in USGovt debt that exceeds $20 trillion without much attention or importance given to it. When the derivative complex shows wider cracks and open gushes of bond blood, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
Italian bank collapse & exit from Common Euro Currency
The Italians have a national referendum coming up very soon. The decision to push PM Renzi aside and to go on a more independent defiant path seems imminent. All his opponents have a common theme, to bail out the banks and to exit the Euro currency, which means a return to the Old Lira currency. The implications are staggering and lethal to the sovereign bond market in Southern Europe, since the PIGS all look alike. The dire implication is to the big European banks, primarily the French and German big banks. When the Italians flip the bird to the Euro Central Bank and their big bank masters, refusing to endure the financial rape as seen in Greece, the continent will undergo widespread tumult. Leaving the Euro currency must coincide with leaving the European Union itself. Key EU leaders are certain to leave en masse, much like in the style of Schultz recently. When Italy bails out its banks and leaves the Euro currency, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
Contagion in Europe in the Southern nations
Greece could follow Italy quickly out of the common Euro currency, even with exit from the European Union. After neighbor Turkey’s intriguing stability course and success, the Greek nation might quickly fall into the arms of Russia and China. The military security from Russia combined with the commercial security from China is a significant attraction. The EU masters have raped Greece, and they wish to leave the bedroom, even the European house. Worse, Portugal could be a dark horse in the unfolding takedown of the EU. When the contagion strikes and the fracture occurs among the PIGS pen, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
European Sovereign Bond Carnage
For the last three years or more, the Euro Central Bank has been quietly, and recently not so secretly, been supporting the entire Southern European sovereign bond market. The Germans at the Bundesbank were loud in objections in 2014, but they grew quiet. The Germans despise the ECB arrogance, and greatly dislike the ruin heaped upon them by the EU itself. The EuroCB has a higher order mission and marching orders from the elite fascists. The Italian Govt debt insurance is rising fast in price, a reliable early warning system much like seen in 2008 with Lehman Brothers CDSwap. The press ignored the signal in 2007, and again ignores it now. The EuroCB activity will backfire in a bonfire of the bond vanities, exposing Prince Draghi for his incredibly offensive arrogance. His paper castle will be taken down. The entire PIGS sovereign debt will break down and go bust, taking with it many large European banks, starting with the PIGS pen but extending into Central Europe. The strangulation of the REPO markets will result in huge liquidity and collateral issues. When the bond carnage begins in earnest, the shock wave will be clear, and the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
Gold Market Arbitrage Breakdown
Ever since the Shanghai Gold Exchange opened and the London Gold Fix was exposed as a grand fraud, the pressures have risen on arbitrage within the gold market. A hidden battle has been waged, sometimes intense with big gaps, often mild with smaller gaps, between the East and West. The arbitrage gap is currently around US$20-25 per ounce in price, but could change quickly and suddenly. It is likely to rise to hundreds of dollars, but gradually, and later perhaps in large chunk increments. The result will be the wreckage of paper Gold & Silver markets. Big players would be free to buy cheap in London, sell dear in Shanghai, and bust the fraudulent market wide open. When the gold market arbitrage undergoes a collision between reality of physical gold in movement and the fantasy of phony paper market pricing, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
Gold-backed currency announced in East
It is really just a matter of time. The de-Dollarization process underway in the East has been going on for over two years, another Jackass forecast coming to pass. The United States with its wars and sanctions has spurred the non-USD movement in earnest, if not hidden hyper-drive. Both Russia and China simultaneously will soon announce Gold backed currencies, while also making public their true gold holdings in the tens of thousands of gold tons. The buzz has been clear for a couple years that Russia has over 25,000 tons gold in reserves, and China has over 30,000 tons gold in reserves. When the new gold-backed currencies are announced, publicized, launched, used in commerce & banking, and compared to the Western toilet paper passing as currency, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
Saudi acceptance of RMB in Chinese oil sales
The event is overdue, except that the Saudis are tied in two ways. They own a boatload of sequestered USTreasury Bonds, held tightly in the USDept Tresasury ESFund. Tough noogies but the Saudis will never see $3 trillion in their USTBond reserves. Also, more on the ugly tarnished side, the Saudis depend upon the USMilitary for weapons purchases in their insidious Yemen War. Regardless of bondage to the US fascists, the Saudis must move forward. The Chinese are demanding the right to make oil payments in their RMB currency terms. Look soon afterwards for the Chinese to use Gold Trade Notes, possibly as an introduction in the oil market. Doing so would slam the Petro-Dollar defacto standard in force for 42 years, putting numerous nails in the USDollar coffin. The collapse in crude oil prices would result in a breakdown of the recent OPEC output freeze. When the Saudis announce acceptance of RMB payments for Chinese oil sales, the Western banks go poof and the USDollar dies.
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