by John Rubino, Dollar Collapse:
This is a good news/bad news story.
Say you’re one of the many people who bought junior gold and silver mining stocks a few years ago — and then watched in horror as they fell day after day, week after week, finally settling at pennies on your dollar.
Then, just as they seem to be recovering, you’re notified that some big miner with much less spectacular upside potential is buying one of your little lottery tickets for a premium to the current price — but a fraction of what you paid back in the day. You now own shares of Goldcorp or Agnico Eagle or some other household name, which isn’t bad. But it’s definitely not the 10-bagger you’d been hoping for to redeem your terrible timing.
Well, get ready, because that’s your future. As Casey Research’s Louis James put it in a recent interview:
The uptick is quite visible. Companies were running out of cash, pulling in their horns, operating in lights-on mode. But now they’re raising money and putting it to work. Resevoir’s deal with Nevsun was a real eye-opener, as was Goldcorp’s acquisition of Kaminak. I hear from contacts that the quality exploration companies are getting new CAs [capital advances] signed with juniors as well as majors. The latter have been cleaning up their balance sheets and are thinking of going shopping again.
Some recent news stories bear this out:
China’s Gold Miners Come of Age to Scour Globe for Acquisitions
(Bloomberg) – China’s gold miners plan to extend the biggest buying spree in four years as the nation seeks greater clout in the global bullion industry. The prospect may be helping drive up the price of assets from Australia to the U.S.
Some of the country’s top producers say they want to build on last year’s spree, when the nation spent the most on overseas gold assets since 2011. Overseas deals by companies based in mainland China in 2015 quadrupled from the year before to $483 million according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bigger groups including Zijin Mining Group Co., Zhaojin Mining Industry Co. and Shandong Gold Group Co. have led a wave of domestic consolidation that’s amounted to $5 billion of takeovers in the past five years.
China is the world’s biggest producer and user of gold and started a price fixing in Shanghai this week as it attempts to establish a regional benchmark and bolster its influence in the global market. With limited domestic resources and growing demand, Chinese companies are looking to snap up overseas assets as prices rebound after touching the lowest in almost 6 years in December.
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