from Gold Silver Worlds:
Going back to the 4th quarter and even the middle of last year, there was a high expectation of a rate increase in 2015 and the talk back then focused on the debate between the March-people and the June-people. March has now come and gone. There will not be a rate increase in June. The debate has shifted to the September-people and a small number of December-people. I have said often that the Fed will not be able to raise rates in 2015.
Right now the Fed’s Funds Future Market is pricing the rate increase for December, it would not take much to push it out to 2016.
Here is the problem: The Fed desperately wants to raise rates, there is no question about this. They signal it, they warn the markets, they continue to talk about it. Anybody who is still in a leveraged Dollar-carry is warned to get out of this trade.
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