The Phaserl


The Chart Every Silver Investor Should See

by Steven St. Angelo, SRS Rocco:

There is a chart that every silver investor needs to see. Especially now, as the Fed and Central Banks continue to manipulate the precious metals lower while propping up the broader stock and bond markets. Even though precious metals sentiment is at record lows, this normally represents a turning point in the gold and silver markets.

On the other hand, the clowns on the financial networks continue to be euphoric about the broader stock markets as they head toward the heavens. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new ALL TIME HIGH reaching 17,265 today. However, if we look at the chart below, we can see a troubling trend.

As the Dow Jones bubbles to new record territory, trading volume heads into the toilet.  This is not a good sign.  The Fed must be holding up the majority of the market as investors with any lick of sense, already bailed out of stocks long ago.

Who knows how long before the Dow Jones Index finally receives a well overdue market enema.  I can assure you of this, when it arrives it will be a very MESSY OCCASION.

Before I get to the CHART every silver investor should look at, let’s take a quick peak at this one.  This chart shows the total American Gold & Silver Eagle sales since the U.S. Mint started its official coin program in 1986.

Total U.S. Gold & Silver Eagle Sales (1986-2013)

From 1986 to 2013, total Silver Eagle sales were 358.5 million and total Gold Eagle sales were 20.1 million.  Thus, we had a 18/1 Silver-Gold Eagle ratio during this 28 year time-span.

You will notice after the collapse of the U.S. Investment Banking and Housing Industry in 2007, Gold and Silver Eagle sales increased substantially.  Even though Gold Eagle sales improved significantly in the years after the economic and market collapse, Silver Eagle sales shot up even higher in percentage terms.

From 2008 to 2013, the U.S. Mint sold a staggering 200.3 million Silver Eagles compared to 6.1 million Gold Eagles.  The Silver-Gold Eagle ratio nearly doubled to 33/1 in this six-year period, due to investors favored Silver Eagles over Gold Eagles.

Moreover, investors purchased more Silver Eagles from 2008 to 2013 (200 million), compared to the 158 million sold from 1986 to 2007.

If current buying trends continue for the remainder of the year, I forecast total Silver Eagle sales to reach 37 million and 475,000 oz of Gold Eagles.  While sales of Gold & Silver Eagles will be lower in 2014 compared to the previous year, the Silver-Gold ratio is estimated to hit a stunning 78/1…. more than double the 33/1 from 2008-2013.

Furthermore, Silver Eagle sales held up much better than Gold Eagles in 2014.  According to my year-end estimates, 2014 Silver Eagle sales will only decline 13% year-over-year, while Gold Eagle will fall 45%.

Now… let’s get to the chart I believe every silver investor needs to see:

Total U.S. Silver Eagle Sales vs SLV Inventory

If we add the total Silver Eagle sales from 1986 to present, it would equal 388.3 million (including the 29,771,000 year to date in 2014).  This is higher than the total inventories of the iShares Silver Trust, SLV ETF which currently stands at 340.4 million ounces.

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21 comments to The Chart Every Silver Investor Should See

  • andrew james

    That’s a little more than 13,000 tons over 28 years and India picked up over 6000 tons last year alone. I’m going to have to stack a little faster.

  • J

    Interesting array of comments in the main article. The operative word used above is “normally”… America has not had a “normal” financial environment since 1914. What all of the PM advocates are hoping for is a return to “normalcy” via “market forces” which will somehow correct all of the existing manipulation.

    When the present system goes, it will go with a bang and not some orderly, predictable, progression. Everyone will be taken by surprise… Your G&S may be worth a lot but will you be able to capitalize on it?

    The comments that advocate diversification are closer to reality.

  • Gnostic

    reason they are smashing metals is when the stock market plunges 8,000+ pts on Friday sept 26. 2014, they don’t want anyone running to gold/silver.

    • Angel

      Just curious, Gnostic, how did you reach that conclusion?

      • Gnostic


        Thank you for asking, my conclusion has no bearing in fact, how could it? It is merely an hypothesis, for the sole purpose of my own amusement that I may be right, in which case I would appear to be a genius if I am wrong & I most likely am wrong, no one will remember nor care, sort of like all the “other PM gurus”

        I am going on the assumption that Even a broken clock is right twice a day. LOL

        PS- I admire your writings not only for content but for the clear concise way you construct your thoughts on digital paper. If I had that gift I would have completed my book.

        • Angel

          Thank you for the compliment, Gnostic. I don’t always have a clear understanding of the technicals and inner workings, but I feel I could read between the lines adequately enough to come to some conclusions of the bigger picture.

          I appreciate your contributions, as well, no matter how politically incorrect some of them may be. It’s always a good thing to shake things up and force people to abandon their comfort zone.

          Seeing that we’re so used to these predictions, I took your dry wit literally. And here I thought you were gonna supply me with some link that I could analyze! You got me!

        • NIX



          Thank you for asking, my conclusion has no bearing in fact, how could it? It is merely an hypothesis, for the sole purpose of my own amusement that I may be right, in which case I would appear to be a genius if I am wrong & I most likely am wrong, no one will remember nor care

        • Johan

          Lol Gnostic, I hope your right!

    • Woodchuck

      Sept 26th would be as good a day as any for the reset. I would imagine no one on earth really knows except maybe a few central bankers and the likes of Sorros. They can make it happen any day they wish. It is so obvious to any of us that read SGT and the other alternative media that there is a general consensus with most all of the contrarian investors and writers it is close. Most all of these individuals are wealthy and have done things right in the past. It will be really ugly though and I don’t want to see the billions around the world to suffer. The largest wealth transfer in the world may not be so pleasant for the wealthy when its all said and done. The masses are going to be angry and even if you have your own island they will be coming for you. Mad Max time, perhaps. Some are optimistic about the final results of a reset but I have my doubts.

  • Angel

    Here’s an excerpt from a recent Wealth Watchman article that explains why a HIGHER silver price has actually enabled the silver manipulation to continue and thrive. As such, the fact that silver has now fallen off the cliff in a big way is actually taking the riggers right along with it. Essentially, they are committing suicide:

    “A rising silver price has allowed them to ramp up silver mining production.

    A rising silver price has allowed a heavy increase in silver recycling(especially during the 2011 spike).

    A rising silver price has allowed the banks to meet worldwide deliveries.

    A rising silver price has allowed the central bank gold leasing, and the high frequency trading slaughter-fest on Wall Street.

    A rising silver price has allowed perpetual London Fix(and now CME Fix) price cave-ins.

    A rising silver price has allowed silver and gold price contango.

    And most importantly….

    A rising silver price has greatly reduced the ability of stackers to suck silver off the open market!

    The Banks are Literally Arming us with Greater Firepower.”

    ‘Nough said.

  • Jim

    There is no inventory at SLV. If there was any at all, it would have been falling like GLD to cover demand in the East. We are a very few months away from the AHA moment….AHA SLV is empty!

  • The Truth

    Hey Gnostic, Nix, Angel. I found this article by Art Cashin to be very interesting because of the numerology of 7’s, Christine Lagard spoke about. Many of the years of major crashes totaled to 7. E.g 1978=25=2+5=7..same as with 1987 which is a reverse. The date 09-22 also seems to come up. But the month 09 always is in the mix as a reference point. 2014= 2+0+1+4=7 also. It is also 13yrs from 911. )9/29 also =911(i.e 9(9+2=11)=911. The crash of 1929 was also on a Tuesday and 9/29 is a tuesday. This statement below is taken from wickedpedia(lol) on the 1929 stock market crash.

    The Wall Street Crash of 1929, also known as Black Tuesday[1] or the Stock Market Crash of 1929..(the numbers 9-29 are also in this year of 1929)

    “Despite the dangers of speculation, many believed that the stock market would continue to rise indefinitely. On March 25, 1929, however, a mini crash occurred after investors started to sell stocks at a rapid pace, exposing the market’s shaky foundation”

    Wickedpedia Link

    Art Cashin(Very good history read)

    I am just sharing this information because I saw videos by MrCati on youtube and the Autumn Equinox leads to a solar eclipse on October 23 exactly 1month from the Autumn one. Also there is a satanic ritual on 09-21-2014 at 7pm in Oklahoma with 88 people when the house sits 92. 88 billion is what Obama just asked for to send 3000 troops to fight Ebola and EBOLA=8 when you add the numerical value of the letters. The Ebola strain also looks like an 8. The crop circles also have 8 in them, along with other time modules showing something looking like a solar alignment coming in October.

    P.S Silver always has a bad week before all market crashes. Just something I observed. I guess that is why they call it the devils metal. However, in Hebrew silver means money. So if you don’t have silver(money), then what do you have?

    • Angel

      Wow, you’re sure into the numbers. I flirt with the subject and don’t discount its significance. Or should I say that I don’t deny that certain figures in positions of power take this stuff very seriously. But whether there’s a legit science to any of it, I don’t know enough about the subject to say. But surely, all of this cannot be a coincidence. It comes up far too often.

      Of course, many would assume numerology to be devil worship right off the starting line and across the board, along with astrology and the rest of it. I’m not going to go there either, though it certainly may be true. But I try to keep an open mind about such things.

      If events materialize in the way that you mention, then some may have to re-evaluate their views on numerology, or at least admit that it’s practiced by TPTB more than they would like to admit.

    • Gnostic

      Hi Truth,

      Excellent observations. Especially silver having a bad week prior to stock market collapse, that was how I based my prediction of 26.sept.2014.

      Another factor is that we are in a Super harvest moon phase & they love to harvest us at this time. On the 26th

      Neil Young – Harvest Moon

      • AgShaman

        I think options expiry is the 23rd….which typically marks the end of the smackdown period and the normal 10-15% reflate.

        Buyers can’t go wrong anywhere below $20 FWIW

        If I come across some paper, I’ll be buying Mon or Tue

      • The Truth

        @ Angel yes I do a little flirting with the numbers because I recently started to see that those in power always talks about “oh its a numbers game”. I also see there is a numbers game in scriptures. I was once told that the greatest financial and investment book anyone can read is the bible. So for every wealthy person on earth, they understand the numbers.

        @ Gnostic that was a smooth song. What was most interesting in the video is that there was an old man sweeping all the happenings of the past night out the door. Kind of like what they did with this whole silver smacking going on. Oh and by the way, the Feast of Trumpets is on 09/26/2014 also know as Yum Terrurah!

  • Rick

    I think one thing that the chart failed to notice is SE’s and GE’s are not the only metal people are buying up. Large amounts of silver and gold are being taken off the shelves in the forms of Maples, bars, and generic rounds. Add this number to the Eagle numbers and it dwarfs whats in the SLV. But what does it matter? As long as some dumb ass is willing to sell their metal at the price set by the manipulators, nothing will change. At some point the retailers need to stop selling at these prices and try driving up the price on their own. Anyone who doesn’t will get cleaned out the next day.


    It is odd that SLV inventory is up 1.5% in the last month while silver prices are down nearly $4 or 20% in the same time period

  • Troy

    I still say we will see $15 silver before years end. I remember in 2012 when I sold the majority of my silver between $37.50 and $42 per ounce….I was nervous about selling it at that low of a price..that was after the crash from $49….who would have ever thought we would see $17 silver in sept 2014! What if 2015 brings $12 silver? That would be CRAZY!

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