by Jim Sinclair, JS Mineset:
Chair Yellen has placed herself between the rock of recession and the hard place of playing the hawk. A global recession cannot produce an isolated USA, but rather underscore the heart of the recent US economic figures as a reflection of an insular American economy following the world back into recession, not entirely extremely cold weather related. You might note that China has not had as much of a weather problem yet and is experiencing degrees of contraction in the spectacular rate of growth previously present.
The idea that stimulation, even if only in form but not reality, can be withdrawn without draconian economic results is simply false. Chair Yellen is truly dedicated to full employment and is going to go into shock over the next few short months at the divergence between her economic modeling, the behavioral economic projections and the degree of economic contraction in the US. She will revert to her long standing dovish viewpoint of the mandate of the Federal Reserve and move this hyper stimulation ($4 Trillion) into a higher gear than before.
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