by Chris Carrington, The Daily Sheeple:
Todays sunspot number is 85, still low for this point in the cycle but a low count does not mean it can’t throw up a surprise or two.
Sunspots AR1817 and AR1818 are both growing in size and both pose a risk for M-class flares. AR1817 is Earth facing though not directly ‘square on’, and it has the beta-gamma-delta magnetic field required to produce X-class flares.
NOAA estimate the chance of an X-class to be 0.5% at this point, but the sunspot is growing and gaining strength all the time so this could be subject to change. Over the coming hours the spot will move into a position in the middle of the sun disc, where any flare will score a direct hit on the Earth.
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