The Phaserl


Can Ron Paul Win as a Third Party Candidate?

by Greg Hunter’s

In a new poll, out yesterday, 7 out of 10 Republicans and right leaning independent voters believe Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee for President. (Click here for that poll.) Does that mean it’s over for Congressman Ron Paul? I think it is safe to say it is probably a long shot he will be the Republican nominee, but what about a third party run? Can Ron Paul win as a third party candidate? I say that is much less of a long shot, and here’s why.

Let me first say, Dr. Paul has repeatedly said that he has no interest in running as a third party candidate. I do not know (or have talked to) anyone in his campaign. This is my objective analysis and nothing more. Ron Paul as a third party candidate would be much different than the third party candidates of the past. Conservative presidential candidate Ross Perot of the 1992 and 1996 elections predominantly took votes away from the Republican candidates. In 1992, national exit polls had Perot splitting the Republican and Democrat vote equally, but it was not split equally in every state. (Click here for more on this.) A president is voted in by winning each state’s Electoral College votes. It’s a winner take all game, so every state gives a certain number to the winner of each state. Also, Perot spent millions hammering Bush in the 1992 primaries; so, Perot mostly had a negative effect on the Republicans. The ultra-liberal Ralph Nader’s third party campaign in 2000 took votes away from Al Gore, the Democrat. More than 97,000 voted for Nader in Florida alone. Gore would have easily won the election and Florida if Nader would have not run.

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2 comments to Can Ron Paul Win as a Third Party Candidate?

  • Mike Ayala

    Ron Paul can win as a ‘First Party’ candidate, particularly if there is proper and adequate scrutiny of the voting process. Like every other market, the voting “market” is rigged. Stalin knew that all too well:

    “The people who cast the votes decide nothing.
    The people who count the votes decide everything.
    It’s not who votes that counts, it’s who counts the votes.”

    We just need to ensure fair vote counts. That should not be too hard to accomplish. A good threat of significant prison time AND harsh fines for the Iowa GOP vote riggers who decided to move the counting to a secret location ought to help.

    “If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy.” -James Madison

    “Naturally the common people don’t want war: Neither in Russia,nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY.”
    –Hermann Goering at the Nuremberg Trials

  • nader paul kucinich gravel mckinney baldwin ventura sheehan perot carter

    Ron Paul Coalition will not vote for Willard Mittens the Romney Robot
    Three other candidates will not even be on the ballot in several states
    R Perry

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